Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046953 0.051070 0.055242 0.059778 0.064564 0.069457 0.074830
2024-10-20 0.039533 0.045513 0.051799 0.058873 0.066585 0.074712 0.083897
2024-10-27 0.034912 0.042308 0.050342 0.059656 0.070092 0.081364 0.094400
2024-11-03 0.030414 0.038730 0.048050 0.059156 0.071912 0.085994 0.102605
2024-11-10 0.027159 0.036213 0.046655 0.059405 0.074369 0.091201 0.111390
2024-11-17 0.024743 0.034426 0.045888 0.060192 0.077301 0.096857 0.120647
2024-11-24 0.023781 0.034280 0.046978 0.063106 0.082688 0.105354 0.133228
2024-12-01 0.020676 0.031188 0.044250 0.061206 0.082172 0.106811 0.137508
2024-12-08 0.018560 0.029188 0.042723 0.060637 0.083145 0.109941 0.143696
2024-12-15 0.016804 0.027519 0.041491 0.060324 0.084338 0.113272 0.150086
2024-12-22 0.016202 0.027370 0.042194 0.062450 0.088562 0.120295 0.160964
2024-12-29 0.015262 0.026669 0.042104 0.063501 0.091401 0.125615 0.169793
2025-01-05 0.014266 0.025847 0.041843 0.064355 0.094057 0.130819 0.178648
2025-01-12 0.012789 0.024211 0.040376 0.063534 0.094509 0.133255 0.184102
2025-01-19 0.011990 0.023537 0.040207 0.064430 0.097183 0.138494 0.193073
2025-01-26 0.010849 0.022239 0.039073 0.063941 0.097987 0.141337 0.199045
2025-02-02 0.010029 0.021385 0.038528 0.064225 0.099788 0.145443 0.206615
2025-02-09 0.009431 0.020844 0.038404 0.065067 0.102321 0.150486 0.215388
2025-02-16 0.009449 0.021339 0.039839 0.068146 0.107918 0.159551 0.229352
2025-02-23 0.008226 0.019598 0.037791 0.066145 0.106516 0.159444 0.231548
2025-03-02 0.007437 0.018549 0.036748 0.065547 0.107001 0.161781 0.236871
2025-03-09 0.006772 0.017667 0.035917 0.065217 0.107825 0.164549 0.242749
2025-03-16 0.006679 0.017855 0.036804 0.067461 0.112282 0.172182 0.255008